Cyclically adjusted balance, General government, Percent of potential in United States
United States: Cyclically adjusted balance, General government, Percent of potential was -7.55 in 2030. ▼ Falling
Cyclically adjusted balance, General government, Percent of potential in United States, 2002–2030
Source: International Monetary Fund.
Analysis
In 2030, cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential in United States stood at -7.55.
That represents a change of up 1.4% on the previous year and up 27.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential in United States peaked at -2.96 in 2006 and was at its lowest, -10.54, in 2021.
That places United States 85th out of 88 countries with data for 2030, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 29 years of available data.
Cyclically adjusted balance, General government, Percent of potential in United States, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2002 | -3.73 | — |
| 2003 | -4.61 | +23.5% |
| 2004 | -4.5 | -2.5% |
| 2005 | -3.55 | -21.1% |
| 2006 | -2.96 | -16.7% |
| 2007 | -4.05 | +36.9% |
| 2008 | -6.18 | +52.7% |
| 2009 | -8.25 | +33.5% |
| 2010 | -10.05 | +21.9% |
| 2011 | -8.47 | -15.7% |
| 2012 | -6.44 | -24.0% |
| 2013 | -4.36 | -32.3% |
| 2014 | -3.55 | -18.7% |
| 2015 | -3.13 | -11.7% |
| 2016 | -3.85 | +23.1% |
| 2017 | -4.34 | +12.6% |
| 2018 | -4.9 | +13.0% |
| 2019 | -5.75 | +17.3% |
| 2020 | -10.46 | +81.9% |
| 2021 | -10.54 | +0.8% |
| 2022 | -5.97 | -43.3% |
| 2023 | -7.41 | +24.1% |
| 2024 | -7.59 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | -7.72 | +1.7% |
| 2026 | -7.74 | +0.3% |
| 2027 | -7.87 | +1.7% |
| 2028 | -8.05 | +2.2% |
| 2029 | -7.65 | -4.9% |
| 2030 | -7.55 | -1.4% |
United States compared with similar countries
- United States's -7.55 is below the median for high income countries, which is -2.33, 3.2× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | -4.73 | -8.25 | -2.96 | 8 |
| 2010s | -5.48 | -10.05 | -3.13 | 10 |
| 2020s | -8.1 | -10.54 | -5.97 | 10 |
| 2030s | -7.55 | -7.55 | -7.55 | 1 |
Countries ranked near United States
More public sector data for United States
- Democracy, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Chief executive of the government is elected, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Elected parliament, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Men's universal right to vote, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Universal right to vote, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Universal right to vote in practice, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Arms imports 745.00 million SIPRI trend indicator values (2025)
- Arms imports (SIPRI trend indicator values), per capita 3.56 SIPRI trend indicator values per person (2024)
- Arms imports (SIPRI trend indicator values), per unit of GDP 0 SIPRI trend indicator values per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Arms imports (SIPRI trend indicator values), annual growth rate 52.65 % change on previous year (2024)
Frequently asked questions
- What is cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential in United States?
- Cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential in United States was -7.55 in 2030, according to International Monetary Fund.
- What is the highest cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential recorded in United States?
- The highest recorded value was -2.96 in 2006.
- What is the lowest cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential recorded in United States?
- The lowest recorded value was -10.54 in 2021.
- How does United States rank for cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential?
- United States ranks 85th out of 88 countries with data for 2030.
- Is cyclically adjusted balance, general government, percent of potential rising or falling in United States?
- Over the last ten years it is up 27.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this United States data come from?
- The figures come from International Monetary Fund, published as part of Cyclically adjusted balance, General government, Percent of potential GDP. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 29 observations, free to reuse under IMF Terms and Conditions (attribution required).
About this data
Fiscal Monitor (FM) 2025 October